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financial-econometrics

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In this project, I explore various machine learning techniques including Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), and Sentiment Analysis in an effort to predict the directional changes in exchange rates for a list of developed and developing countries.

  • Updated Dec 5, 2022
  • TeX

bayesian-sgdlm is a Python script for fully Bayesian SGDLMs, treating each node as a VAR( 𝑝) DLM. It leverages decouple–recouple filtering with Variational Bayes and importance sampling to estimate sparse, time-varying cross-lag dependencies (including pandemic dummies) without ever inverting the full multivariate system.

  • Updated Aug 31, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

Coding projects I have worked on, in R and Python. Predominantly includes utilizing code to recreate the Black Sholes Model, Greek Option calculator, Stochastic Process and Brownian Motion and other data science applications for finance. Python was also used primarily for machine learning applications in finance, using various functions from skl…

  • Updated May 27, 2022
  • Jupyter Notebook

End-to-End Python implementation of Regime-Weighted Conformal (RWC) prediction for sequential VaR control in nonstationary financial markets (Schmitt, 2026). Combines kernel-based regime similarity with exponential time decay to calibrate distribution-free risk bounds. CRSP data validation, GBDT quantile forecasting, and rigorous backtesting.

  • Updated Feb 8, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

End-to-End Python implementation of bi-level optimization for financial time-series synthesis from "History Is Not Enough" by Xia et al. (2026). Implements cointegration-aware data augmentation, curriculum learning, and meta-learned augmentation policies to immunize quantitative models against concept drift and market non-stationarity.

  • Updated Jan 19, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

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